Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2.69 | +$0.69 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | 2d ago |
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Golden Beacon 8A62 is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #1,780,338 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$7.87 observed lifetime PnL, 53 distinct markets, 49 resolved positions, a 42.9% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x69b45a2ec01d202f0f0052f07a7560cf36b08a62
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| No |
| 2 |
| $0.500 |
| $1.58 |
| +$0.58 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2.86 | $0.350 | $0.61 | -$0.39 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.240 | $0.48 | -$0.52 |
| buy |
| 2.86 |
| $0.350 |
| $1 |
| 3d ago |
 Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 6d ago |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | 10d ago |
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 11d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | 11d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | 12d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.233 | $1.21 | 22d ago |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | 22d ago |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?No | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | 23d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.93 | $0.683 | $2 | 24d ago |
 Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 25d ago |
 Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 25d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 25d ago |
 Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on August 31?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | 28d ago |
 Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 29d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | 29d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 11?Down | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.760 | $1.04 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.480 | $1.8 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.99 | $0.499 | $1.99 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.25 | $0.400 | $1.3 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Transparent" during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.390 | $1.17 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of July 27 2026?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.600 | $1.83 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.82 | $0.510 | $1.95 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?No | buy | 3.66 | $0.470 | $1.72 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during Michigan remarks?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.580 | $1.77 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Security" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 3 | $0.360 | $1.08 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Iran" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.800 | $1.62 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.