Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 41 | $0.530 | $21.73 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 58 |
| $0.810 |
| $46.98 |
| Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.043 | $2.88 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 85 | $0.480 | $40.8 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.470 | $6.35 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 53 | $0.957 | $50.72 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 53 | $0.957 | $50.72 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 66 | $0.700 | $46.2 | May 31, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 66 | $0.700 | $46.2 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.570 | $30.21 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.978 | $19.56 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.985 | $49.25 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.985 | $49.25 | May 29, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 53 | $0.778 | $41.23 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 48 | $0.925 | $44.4 | May 28, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 57 | $0.720 | $41.04 | May 28, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 4 | $0.340 | $1.36 | May 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 108 | $0.420 | $45.36 | May 26, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 53 | $0.859 | $45.53 | May 26, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 53 | $0.865 | $45.85 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will federal spending decrease by more than $2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 1 | $0.980 | $0.98 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.975 | $1.21 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.986 | $1.37 | May 22, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.94 | $0.990 | $1.92 | May 3, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.108 | $1.08 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Will Rumble buy TikTok?No | buy | 14 | $0.965 | $13.51 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney lose his seat?No | sell | 16 | $0.946 | $15.14 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney lose his seat?No | buy | 16 | $0.930 | $14.88 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on April 30?No | buy | 15 | $0.982 | $14.73 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in his first 100 days?No | sell | 15 | $0.987 | $14.81 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 15 | $0.978 | $14.67 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 9 | $0.980 | $8.82 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Anamaria Gavrilă advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?No | sell | 15 | $0.989 | $14.83 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 Masters?No | buy | 10 | $0.964 | $9.64 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 18 | $0.830 | $14.94 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will Frankfurt win the UEFA Europa League?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.107 | $2.14 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League?No | sell | 11 | $0.835 | $9.18 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League?No | buy | 18 | $0.834 | $15.01 | Apr 2, 2025 |
 Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?No | sell | 15 | $0.987 | $14.81 | Apr 1, 2025 |