Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?No | sell | 11.36 | $0.885 | $10.05 | Aug 4, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 11.36 |
| $0.880 |
| $10 |
| Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?No | buy | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 21?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No | buy | 10.33 | $0.968 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?No | buy | 10.36 | $0.965 | $10 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?No | buy | 16.85 | $0.890 | $15 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No | buy | 10.55 | $0.948 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.17 | $0.895 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | buy | 8.59 | $0.931 | $8 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | buy | 7.19 | $0.973 | $7 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Algeria reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?No | buy | 13.41 | $0.820 | $11 | May 29, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?No | buy | 11.96 | $0.920 | $11 | May 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.09 | $0.910 | $11 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?No | buy | 13.37 | $0.972 | $13 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No | buy | 10.31 | $0.970 | $10 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No | buy | 8.41 | $0.951 | $8 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.979 | $5 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?No | buy | 6.82 | $0.880 | $6 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?No | buy | 7.13 | $0.982 | $7 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No | buy | 9.2 | $0.978 | $9 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No | buy | 6.19 | $0.970 | $6 | May 2, 2026 |
| Crude Oil all time high by April 30?No | buy | 6.22 | $0.965 | $6 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.965 | $7 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.948 | $6 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.972 | $6 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 6.28 | $0.956 | $6 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 6.43 | $0.933 | $6 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | buy | 7.22 | $0.966 | $6.98 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?No | buy | 7.12 | $0.982 | $6.99 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?No | buy | 7.09 | $0.986 | $6.99 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?No | buy | 7.11 | $0.983 | $6.99 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | buy | 8.18 | $0.976 | $7.98 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | buy | 6.09 | $0.984 | $5.99 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.984 | $6.98 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No | buy | 6.09 | $0.984 | $5.99 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.865 | $6 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 6.59 | $0.910 | $6 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?No | buy | 6.2 | $0.967 | $6 | Mar 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETUp | buy | 6.32 | $0.780 | $4.93 | Mar 13, 2026 |