Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.130 | $1.43 | Jun 24, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 45 |
| $0.975 |
| $43.88 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 45 | $0.976 | $43.92 | Jun 24, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 43 | $0.920 | $39.56 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.320 | $3.52 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 103 | $0.410 | $42.23 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 109 | $0.520 | $56.68 | Jun 23, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 79 | $0.140 | $11.06 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.590 | $40.12 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.245 | $20.58 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 164 | $0.245 | $40.18 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 164 | $0.149 | $24.44 | Jun 14, 2026 |
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.061 | $1.95 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.220 | $1.76 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 145 | $0.200 | $29 | Jun 12, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.640 | $8.32 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 46 | $0.100 | $4.6 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.090 | $7.92 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 13 | $0.460 | $5.98 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.995 | $1 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 1 | $0.982 | $0.98 | Jul 23, 2025 |
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?No | sell | 19 | $0.929 | $17.65 | Jun 27, 2025 |
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.971 | $1.9 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times June 6–13?No | sell | 17 | $0.998 | $16.97 | Jun 12, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?No | sell | 2 | $0.955 | $1.91 | Jun 11, 2025 |
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 18 | $0.976 | $17.57 | Jun 7, 2025 |
Will the candidate from the People Power Party win the South Korean Presidential Election?No | buy | 17 | $0.968 | $16.46 | May 29, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 23–30?No | sell | 17 | $0.997 | $16.95 | May 29, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 23–30?No | buy | 17 | $0.982 | $16.69 | May 28, 2025 |
Will George Russell finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?No | sell | 17 | $0.987 | $16.78 | May 27, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May?No | sell | 17 | $0.996 | $16.93 | May 26, 2025 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May?No | buy | 17 | $0.981 | $16.68 | May 19, 2025 |
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 14 | $0.982 | $13.75 | May 18, 2025 |
Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.930 | $13.95 | May 16, 2025 |
Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 14 | $0.993 | $13.9 | May 13, 2025 |
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 National League Championship?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.015 | $0.9 | May 13, 2025 |
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 15 | $0.987 | $14.81 | May 12, 2025 |
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?No | sell | 15 | $0.989 | $14.83 | May 12, 2025 |
Will the Socialist Party of Albania win the most seats in the next Albanian election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.984 | $14.76 | May 11, 2025 |
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 15 | $0.983 | $14.75 | May 11, 2025 |
Will Pedro Nuno Santos be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?No | sell | 16 | $0.962 | $15.39 | May 10, 2025 |
Will Pedro Nuno Santos be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?No | buy | 16 | $0.962 | $15.39 | May 10, 2025 |
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 15 | $0.993 | $14.9 | May 10, 2025 |
Will Pedro Nuno Santos be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?No | sell | 16 | $0.961 | $15.38 | May 10, 2025 |
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 15 | $0.976 | $14.64 | May 9, 2025 |
Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.990 | $1.8 | May 6, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $2200 in April?No | buy | 1.57 | $0.983 | $1.54 | Apr 22, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.042 | $0.88 | Apr 8, 2025 |
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 16 | $0.970 | $15.52 | Apr 6, 2025 |
Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.060 | $1.44 | Apr 6, 2025 |