Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 52.76 | $0.500 | $51.41 | +$25.03 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | sell | 15.8 | $0.023 | $0.36 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 52.76 |
| $0.500 |
| $1.35 |
| -$25.03 |
| buy |
| 9.87 |
| $0.957 |
| $9.45 |
| Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?No | buy | 9.59 | $0.950 | $9.11 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.34 | $0.850 | $9.64 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.971 | $5.25 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 6.42 | $0.968 | $6.21 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 9.66 | $0.937 | $9.05 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 24.89 | $0.367 | $9.13 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 17.95 | $0.550 | $9.87 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | buy | 15.81 | $0.420 | $6.64 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?No | sell | 5.37 | $0.925 | $4.97 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?No | sell | 6.4 | $0.900 | $5.76 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 13.51 | $0.359 | $4.86 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | sell | 8.39 | $0.890 | $7.47 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 49.5 | $0.160 | $7.92 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | sell | 10.22 | $0.997 | $10.19 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | sell | 10.92 | $0.922 | $10.07 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 23.36 | $0.320 | $7.48 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Iraq by December 31?No | buy | 5.82 | $0.992 | $5.77 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.34 | $0.910 | $5.77 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 13.52 | $0.540 | $7.3 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.34 | $0.900 | $5.71 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 49.5 | $0.185 | $9.18 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 10.22 | $0.996 | $10.18 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | buy | 10.93 | $0.928 | $10.14 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?Yes | buy | 8.39 | $0.870 | $7.3 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 23.37 | $0.410 | $9.58 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | sell | 7.06 | $0.940 | $6.64 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | sell | 39.93 | $0.110 | $4.39 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.950 | $5.11 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?No | buy | 6.4 | $0.940 | $6.02 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 10.75 | $0.900 | $9.68 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | sell | 70.27 | $0.070 | $4.92 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 39.94 | $0.160 | $6.39 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?No | buy | 7.07 | $0.880 | $6.22 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 70.27 | $0.110 | $7.73 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 9.84 | $0.961 | $9.46 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.850 | $9.14 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?Yes | buy | 18.48 | $0.991 | $18.31 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?Yes | buy | 8.51 | $0.980 | $8.34 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Will India win Intervision 2025?No | sell | 7.39 | $0.505 | $3.73 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Venezuela win Intervision 2025?No | sell | 10.2 | $0.452 | $4.61 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Will Venezuela win Intervision 2025?No | buy | 10.21 | $0.971 | $9.91 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will India win Intervision 2025?No | buy | 7.39 | $0.975 | $7.21 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released on August 15 or later?No | buy | 8.59 | $0.972 | $8.35 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will MAS‑IPSP win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?No | buy | 8.52 | $0.982 | $8.37 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | buy | 9.8 | $0.910 | $8.92 | Aug 6, 2025 |
 FIFA Club World Cup: 200+ Goals Scored?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.985 | $5 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.947 | $5.38 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 5.55 | $0.970 | $5.38 | Jun 24, 2025 |