Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 23% on 24 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2025 to 31 Jan 2026, the highest close was 23% on 24 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 1.1% on 25 Dec 2025. $81.4K traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 31, 2:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 24 Dec 2025 – 31 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Dec 2025 | 23.0% |
| 31 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 73.55K |
| rated | Yes | 11.57K |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 4.58K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-largest-company-end-of-january
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| Yes |
| 3K |
| products | Yes | 2.81K |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 2.67K |
| Abunawas | Yes | 1.98K |
| MyLige | Yes | 1.11K |
| Lesivv | Yes | 1K |
| IndianaJokes | Yes | 1K |
