Latest trade
Oct 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 9:35 PM UTC.
paobuda is down $8.01 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-09-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 9:35 PM UTC.
$90.37 median trade
Its latest 46 trades covered 46 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Sep 22, 2025 UTC to Oct 18, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 14.41 | $0.999 | $14.41 | +$0.01 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 14.41 | $0.999 | $14.4 | 6d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-09-16 20:03 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 21:35 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
46 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 21:35 UTC
polymarket positions
42 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-16 20:03 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
100% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $2.45 on “Miami (OH) vs. Western Michigan” (Western Michigan).
Its most recent trade on record was on 18 Oct 2026. It has traded 46 markets. Its open positions are worth $15.34 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 2.03 |
| $0.700 |
| $0.93 |
| -$0.49 |
Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes| buy |
| 2.03 |
| $0.700 |
| $1.42 |
| 6d ago |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.82 | $0.999 | $15.8 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
Trump out as President by August 31?No | buy | 15.82 | $0.999 | $15.8 | Aug 28, 2026 UTC |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.82 | $0.999 | $15.8 | Jul 23, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No | buy | 88.18 | $0.998 | $88 | Jun 7, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 6?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.999 | $27 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 5?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No | buy | 104.1 | $0.999 | $104 | May 5, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?Yes | buy | 131.11 | $0.999 | $130.98 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 131.5 | $0.999 | $131.37 | Apr 21, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?No | buy | 131.35 | $0.997 | $130.96 | Apr 16, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | buy | 130.12 | $0.999 | $129.99 | Apr 9, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in March 2026?No | buy | 130.13 | $0.999 | $130 | Mar 24, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 130.13 | $0.999 | $130 | Mar 19, 2026 UTC |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 130.26 | $0.998 | $130 | Mar 11, 2026 UTC |
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the April Meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 130.13 | $0.999 | $130 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?No | buy | 131.23 | $0.999 | $131.1 | Feb 14, 2026 UTC |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 8, 2026?No | buy | 131.1 | $0.998 | $130.84 | Feb 10, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 51.55 | $0.194 | $10 | Feb 6, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 140.84 | $0.999 | $140.7 | Feb 2, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?No | buy | 140.7 | $0.999 | $140.56 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?No | buy | 140.56 | $0.999 | $140.42 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?No | buy | 140.42 | $0.999 | $140.28 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?No | buy | 140.14 | $0.999 | $140 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 9?Yes | buy | 93.34 | $0.027 | $2.5 | Jan 9, 2026 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?No | buy | 142.14 | $0.999 | $142 | Jan 7, 2026 UTC |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 19?No | buy | 141.22 | $0.999 | $141.08 | Dec 19, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.999 | $135 | Dec 6, 2025 UTC |
Miami (OH) vs. Western MichiganWestern Michigan | buy | 5.33 | $0.540 | $2.88 | Dec 6, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No | buy | 135.27 | $0.998 | $135 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 29?No | buy | 695 | $0.002 | $1.39 | Nov 28, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.999 | $135 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.979 | $1.47 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.999 | $1.24 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.981 | $1.25 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in November 2025?No | buy | 90.64 | $0.999 | $90.55 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?No | buy | 90.09 | $0.999 | $90 | Nov 1, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No | buy | 90.09 | $0.999 | $90 | Oct 26, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?No | buy | 90.09 | $0.999 | $90 | Oct 20, 2025 UTC |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?No | buy | 90.28 | $0.999 | $90.19 | Oct 16, 2025 UTC |
Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 50.05 | $0.999 | $50 | Oct 16, 2025 UTC |
Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September?No | buy | 2 | $0.998 | $2 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
Will Chow Hang‑tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
Will Solana dip to $130 in September?No | buy | 135.27 | $0.998 | $135 | Sep 22, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.