Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | buy | 20 | $0.960 | $19.2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 128.35 |
| $0.950 |
| $121.94 |
| Apr 18, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown | buy | 4.67 | $0.540 | $2.52 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.940 | $18.8 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 11.46 | $0.974 | $11.16 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?Yes | buy | 140.99 | $0.930 | $131.12 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (February 15)Yes | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 13?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 139.95 | $0.983 | $137.57 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.053 | $5.27 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | sell | 89.81 | $0.181 | $16.22 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.901 | $90.11 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.969 | $29.07 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)Yes | buy | 136.09 | $0.997 | $135.68 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 135.68 | $0.976 | $132.42 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?No | buy | 131.16 | $0.930 | $121.98 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.550 | $2.75 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.663 | $66.3 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?No | sell | 45.45 | $0.560 | $25.45 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 105.47 | $0.959 | $101.15 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?No | buy | 19.26 | $0.940 | $18.1 | Nov 14, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on November 12?No | buy | 17.26 | $0.985 | $17 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 101.11 | $0.989 | $100 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 19.19 | $0.938 | $18 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 96.77 | $0.930 | $90 | Oct 23, 2025 |