Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.946 | $4.73 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 5.01 |
| $0.350 |
| $1.75 |
| Jun 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 46 | $0.360 | $16.56 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 32 | $0.982 | $31.42 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 32 | $0.987 | $31.58 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 33 | $0.964 | $31.81 | May 31, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.031 | $0.25 | May 30, 2026 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.034 | $2.35 | May 29, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 39 | $0.470 | $18.33 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.016 | $0.59 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 33 | $0.984 | $32.47 | May 27, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 46 | $0.784 | $36.06 | May 27, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.070 | $5.25 | May 26, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.090 | $4.5 | May 26, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 35 | $0.715 | $25.03 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 0.33 | $0.901 | $0.3 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.995 | $1 | Jul 24, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.003 | $0.01 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 1 | $0.974 | $0.97 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | sell | 8 | $0.982 | $7.86 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.975 | $1.3 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.040 | $1.8 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will the candidate from the People Power Party win the South Korean Presidential Election?No | buy | 8 | $0.966 | $7.73 | May 20, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 16–23?No | sell | 11 | $0.741 | $8.15 | May 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 16–23?No | buy | 11 | $0.847 | $9.32 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 9 | $0.988 | $8.89 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Spain finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?No | buy | 11 | $0.940 | $10.34 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 11 | $0.993 | $10.92 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 11 | $0.989 | $10.88 | May 14, 2025 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday?No | sell | 11 | $0.998 | $10.98 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will Netherlands qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.933 | $10.26 | May 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.015 | $0.78 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | buy | 72 | $0.015 | $1.08 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will Frank McCourt buy TikTok?No | sell | 11 | $0.957 | $10.53 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 12 | $0.919 | $11.03 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2600 in May?No | sell | 21 | $0.534 | $11.21 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.991 | $9.91 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.991 | $9.91 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will Edi Rama be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.972 | $10.69 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will Edi Rama be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.966 | $10.63 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.971 | $9.71 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.974 | $13.64 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Fernando Filoni be the next pope?No | sell | 14 | $0.994 | $13.92 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 4?No | sell | 14 | $0.996 | $13.94 | May 8, 2025 |
 Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 14 | $0.936 | $13.1 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 14 | $0.974 | $13.64 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.990 | $1.8 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 17 | $0.969 | $16.47 | May 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 17 | $0.966 | $16.42 | Apr 5, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?No | sell | 9 | $0.927 | $8.34 | Apr 5, 2025 |