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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.76 | $0.957 | $0.74 | +$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.171 |
| $6.84 |
| Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.280 | $1.4 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.310 | $9.61 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.855 | $38.48 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.138 | $1.38 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.940 | $38.54 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.041 | $2.67 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 39 | $0.974 | $37.99 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 14 | $0.958 | $13.41 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 23.76 | $0.956 | $22.71 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 26 | $0.986 | $25.64 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.986 | $19.72 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 41 | $0.955 | $39.16 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.197 | $10.84 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 61.25 | $0.014 | $0.86 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.014 | $0.67 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.985 | $14.78 | May 16, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.975 | $39 | May 15, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 28 | $0.052 | $1.46 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 36 | $0.970 | $34.92 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | sell | 13 | $0.985 | $12.81 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | buy | 13 | $0.985 | $12.81 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | buy | 285 | $0.985 | $280.73 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 317 | $0.885 | $280.55 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 317 | $0.885 | $280.55 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | sell | 59 | $0.012 | $0.71 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | buy | 383 | $0.012 | $4.6 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 51.56 | $0.943 | $48.62 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No | buy | 264 | $0.984 | $259.78 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | sell | 297 | $0.964 | $286.31 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 297 | $0.964 | $286.31 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 297 | $0.964 | $286.31 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.159 | $8.43 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.160 | $8.48 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.990 | $1.57 | Mar 28, 2025 |
 Virginia Tech vs. Boston CollegeVirginia Tech | buy | 16 | $0.540 | $8.64 | Feb 18, 2025 |