Latest trade
Mar 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:57 PM UTC.
Analytics
MorningWarden is down $587.27 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 11 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-03-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Mar 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:57 PM UTC.
$16.95 median trade
Its latest 48 trades covered 16 markets; 75.0% were buys. They run from Nov 8, 2025 UTC to Mar 18, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 32 | $0.600 | $19.2 | Mar 18, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-03-18 05:31 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 12:57 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
48 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 12:57 UTC
polymarket positions
12 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-03-18 05:31 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $162.48 and losing ones cost $24.52 across 11 settled positions. 54.5% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $129.15 on “Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland Terrapins” (Maryland Terrapins); the largest loss, $16 on “Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 18 Mar 2026. It has traded 16 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 32 |
| $0.690 |
| $22.08 |
| Feb 6, 2026 UTC |
 Northeastern Huskies vs. Monmouth HawksNortheastern Huskies | buy | 572 | $0.360 | $205.92 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Northeastern Huskies vs. Monmouth HawksNortheastern Huskies | buy | 294 | $0.360 | $105.84 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.032 | $0.96 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.035 | $1.06 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | sell | 192 | $0.026 | $4.99 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 192 | $0.033 | $6.31 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | sell | 321 | $0.974 | $312.65 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?No | buy | 321 | $0.980 | $314.58 | Jan 19, 2026 UTC |
| Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Maryland TerrapinsMaryland Terrapins | buy | 315 | $0.590 | $185.85 | Jan 18, 2026 UTC |
 LoL: Cloud9 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)Cloud9 | buy | 170 | $0.280 | $47.6 | Dec 9, 2025 UTC |
| LoL: Cloud9 vs BNK FEARX (BO1)BNK FEARX | buy | 243 | $0.690 | $167.67 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 US recession in 2025?No | sell | 15 | $0.980 | $14.7 | Dec 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Yes | buy | 635.63 | $0.002 | $1.27 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Yes | buy | 773 | $0.002 | $1.55 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Yes | buy | 502.86 | $0.002 | $1.01 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Yes | buy | 933.38 | $0.002 | $1.87 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.002 | $2.43 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Yes | buy | 171 | $0.002 | $0.34 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.002 | $0.09 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Yes | buy | 44 | $0.002 | $0.09 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Yes | buy | 215 | $0.002 | $0.43 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Yes | buy | 752 | $0.002 | $1.5 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Yes | buy | 1.58K | $0.002 | $3.16 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Yes | buy | 557 | $0.002 | $1.11 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Yes | buy | 774 | $0.002 | $1.55 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Yes | buy | 763 | $0.002 | $1.53 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?Yes | buy | 243.13 | $0.002 | $0.49 | Dec 2, 2025 UTC |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 15 | $0.956 | $14.34 | Nov 22, 2025 UTC |
 Raptors vs. 76ers76ers | buy | 310 | $0.500 | $155 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
| Celtics vs. NetsCeltics | buy | 180 | $0.820 | $147.6 | Nov 18, 2025 UTC |
| Thunder vs. PelicansPelicans | buy | 340 | $0.070 | $23.8 | Nov 17, 2025 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 75 | $0.965 | $72.38 | Nov 14, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?No | sell | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | Nov 14, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Nov 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.920 | $23 | Nov 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.968 | $96.8 | Nov 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 23 | $0.965 | $22.2 | Nov 11, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | Nov 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 175 | $0.964 | $168.7 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 23 | $0.964 | $22.17 | Nov 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.962 | $24.05 | Nov 9, 2025 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.960 | $24 | Nov 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 25 | $0.967 | $24.18 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 25 | $0.966 | $24.15 | Nov 8, 2025 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.