Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 23.81 | $0.420 | $12.74 | +$2.74 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETUp | buy | 2.5K | $0.010 | $25 | May 16, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 10.2 |
| $0.490 |
| $5.05 |
| +$0.05 |
 Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.170 | $4.85 | -$0.15 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6.76 | $0.740 | $4.76 | -$0.24 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.090 | $3.75 | -$11.25 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.210 | $2.68 | -$12.32 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 8.2 | $0.610 | $1.23 | -$3.77 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 17.24 | $0.290 | $0.61 | -$4.39 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | Yes | 1.3 | $0.770 | $0.2 | -$0.8 |
| buy |
| 27.38 |
| $0.365 |
| $10 |
| May 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETDown | buy | 128.75 | $0.194 | $25 | May 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETDown | buy | 31.25 | $0.800 | $25 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 13?Yes | buy | 67.64 | $0.370 | $25 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 7?Yes | buy | 360.34 | $0.278 | $100 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 6?Yes | buy | 332.65 | $0.301 | $100 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 6?Yes | buy | 11.33 | $0.441 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 3?Yes | buy | 144.46 | $0.346 | $50 | May 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | May 2, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | May 2, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 1?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETDown | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETDown | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - April 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETDown | buy | 7.89 | $0.634 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETDown | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 1?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETDown | buy | 500 | $0.010 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETDown | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "War" during April press conference?Yes | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 James Comey arrested by May 15?Yes | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETDown | buy | 12.98 | $0.385 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?Yes | buy | 154.3 | $0.039 | $6 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Dogecoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETDown | buy | 8.87 | $0.564 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.34 | $0.947 | $6 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Successor" during April press conference?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes | buy | 28.51 | $0.351 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?Yes | buy | 6.09 | $0.985 | $6 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 29?Yes | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETDown | buy | 19.74 | $0.760 | $15 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETDown | buy | 13K | $0.001 | $13 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 28?Yes | buy | 45.5 | $0.100 | $4.55 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETDown | buy | 15.23 | $0.690 | $10.51 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 29?Yes | buy | 70.88 | $0.061 | $4.32 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETDown | buy | 116.21 | $0.841 | $97.71 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 27?Yes | buy | 9.2 | $0.200 | $1.84 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Apr 26, 2026 |