Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 34 | $0.910 | $30.94 | Jun 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 34 |
| $0.930 |
| $31.62 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 41 | $0.710 | $29.11 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 33 | $0.880 | $29.04 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 63 | $0.510 | $32.13 | May 26, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 63 | $0.510 | $32.13 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.05 | $0.710 | $10.69 | May 26, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.430 | $14.19 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 29 | $0.984 | $28.54 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.984 | $28.54 | May 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.710 | $48.99 | May 23, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 58 | $0.850 | $49.3 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.028 | $0.06 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1 | $0.986 | $0.99 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.992 | $9.92 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.013 | $0.01 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.019 | $0.68 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?Yes | sell | 33 | $0.018 | $0.59 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.043 | $0.86 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?No | buy | 10 | $0.948 | $9.48 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 9 | $0.972 | $8.75 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.118 | $1.3 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.059 | $1.47 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 12 | $0.898 | $10.78 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.913 | $7.3 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 7 | $0.974 | $6.82 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 8 | $0.974 | $7.79 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.948 | $7.58 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.043 | $0.21 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by December 31?No | buy | 9 | $0.965 | $8.69 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.915 | $6.41 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.051 | $1.48 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.915 | $13.73 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.052 | $1.51 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.035 | $1.23 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.037 | $0.44 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.853 | $15.35 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.845 | $15.21 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 15 | $0.967 | $14.5 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.016 | $0.24 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 15 | $0.906 | $13.59 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.016 | $1.09 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.069 | $0.48 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.044 | $2.24 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.044 | $0.31 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.044 | $2.55 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?No | buy | 24 | $0.954 | $22.9 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced by September 30?No | buy | 24 | $0.956 | $22.94 | Sep 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?No | buy | 24 | $0.977 | $23.45 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.977 | $23.45 | Sep 27, 2025 |