Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 12.26 | $0.979 | $12.1 | +$0.1 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 12.26 | $0.979 | $12 | 6d ago |
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| sell |
| 12.83 |
| $0.940 |
| $12.06 |
| 6d ago |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No | buy | 12.83 | $0.935 | $12 | 17d ago |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo | sell | 12.09 | $0.987 | $11.93 | 17d ago |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 12.1 | $0.992 | $12 | 20d ago |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.981 | $12.26 | 20d ago |
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.984 | $12.3 | 22d ago |
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 12.13 | $0.992 | $12.03 | 22d ago |
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 12.13 | $0.989 | $12 | 26d ago |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 12.45 | $0.988 | $12.3 | 26d ago |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 12.45 | $0.988 | $12.3 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?No | sell | 12.23 | $0.999 | $12.22 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?No | buy | 12.24 | $0.997 | $12.2 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?No | buy | 12.26 | $0.979 | $12 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 13-19?No | buy | 12.02 | $0.998 | $12 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?No | sell | 12.03 | $0.996 | $11.98 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?No | buy | 12.04 | $0.997 | $12 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | sell | 12.18 | $0.978 | $11.91 | Jul 12, 2026 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | buy | 12.18 | $0.985 | $12 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 12.03 | $0.997 | $11.99 | Jul 8, 2026 |
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 12.04 | $0.997 | $12 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 12.07 | $0.993 | $11.99 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.07 | $0.994 | $12 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 12.04 | $0.995 | $11.98 | Jul 4, 2026 |
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.996 | $12 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 12.06 | $0.994 | $11.99 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.280 | $2.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 12.06 | $0.995 | $12 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 14.58 | $0.994 | $14.49 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 14.59 | $0.994 | $14.5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 19.32 | $0.983 | $18.99 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 19.33 | $0.983 | $19 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | sell | 5.33 | $0.883 | $4.71 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No | sell | 15.1 | $0.994 | $15.01 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No | buy | 15.11 | $0.993 | $15 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 5.34 | $0.937 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No | sell | 10.6 | $0.994 | $10.54 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No | sell | 3.92 | $0.993 | $3.89 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No | buy | 14.53 | $0.998 | $14.5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 12?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.02 | $0.996 | $6.99 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No | sell | 21.45 | $0.928 | $19.9 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.02 | $0.997 | $7 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No | buy | 21.46 | $0.932 | $20 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 6.32 | $0.939 | $5.93 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 12.06 | $0.910 | $10.97 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | May 31, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | buy | 10.33 | $0.968 | $10 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 12.06 | $0.829 | $10 | May 31, 2026 |