Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.962 | $5 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 5.2 |
| $0.962 |
| $5 |
| Jan 20, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.062 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.943 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by January 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 38.46 | $0.510 | $19.61 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | sell | 38.46 | $0.510 | $19.61 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.83 | $0.546 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | sell | 2.04 | $0.001 | $0 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | sell | 1.92 | $0.998 | $1.92 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 14.49 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will Dustin Henderson die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.949 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Joyce Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.938 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Nancy Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.932 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Robin Buckley die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.54 | $0.060 | $0.15 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?No | buy | 18.09 | $0.940 | $17 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.642 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.979 | $2 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.965 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Die With a Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.957 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Nov 15, 2025 |