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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?No | buy | 7.48 | $0.230 | $1.72 | Jun 10, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 7.14 |
| $0.350 |
| $2.5 |
| Aug 19, 2025 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.360 | $2.5 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.380 | $2.45 | Aug 8, 2025 |
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?No | buy | 56 | $0.018 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Yes | buy | 6.79 | $0.368 | $2.5 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?No | buy | 10.44 | $0.270 | $2.82 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.420 | $2.5 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will Elon tag @realDonaldTrump on X in July?No | sell | 5.26 | $0.954 | $5.02 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?No | sell | 7.69 | $0.950 | $7.31 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will Elon tag @realDonaldTrump on X in July?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.570 | $3 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jul 8, 2025 |
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.451 | $5.37 | Jul 8, 2025 |