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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump say "BRICS" or "NATO" 2+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Aug 15, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 6.1 |
| $0.820 |
| $5 |
| Aug 15, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Rare Earth" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Aug 3, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Aug 3, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 12% and 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 32.76 | $0.580 | $19 | Jul 1, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 13.51 | $0.360 | $4.86 | Jul 1, 2025 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 15.15 | $0.982 | $14.87 | Jun 28, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 6.71 | $0.745 | $5 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 13% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?No | sell | 4.54 | $0.220 | $1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Jun 22, 2025 |
Israel military action against Iran in July?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Jun 16, 2025 |
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jun 16, 2025 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jun 16, 2025 |
US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 18.59 | $0.269 | $5 | Jun 16, 2025 |