
Resolved Yes on 29 Jun 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 17% on 23 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 23 Jun 2025 to 29 Jun 2025, the highest close was 100% on 29 Jun 2025 and the lowest 17% on 23 Jun 2025. Its largest one-day move was 68 points up, to 91.5% on 26 Jun 2025. $811.43K traded over the market's life.
113 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 28, 2:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 23 Jun 2025 – 29 Jun 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jun 2025 | 17.0% |
| 29 Jun 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gongasdias98 | No | 75.32K |
| cheesencrackers | No | 55.37K |
| shimazu | No | 13.29K |
| sina2266 | No | 8.4K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government or military publicly and officially announces that its military operations against Iran, initiated on June 21, 2025, have concluded by Ma 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-announces-end-of-military-operations-against-iran-before-july
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| Nutsplice | No | 7.78K |
| Red099 | No | 6.87K |
| wanker | No | 5.18K |
| Sungazer | No | 5.05K |
| leok | No | 4.71K |
| adrian01 | No | 4.08K |