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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 56.12 | $0.980 | $55.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | 22d ago |
|
| No |
| 21.55 |
| $0.928 |
| $20.66 |
| +$0.66 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.300 | $17.5 | -$12.5 |
| buy |
| 56.12 |
| $0.980 |
| $55 |
| Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 21.55 | $0.928 | $20 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.650 | $65 | May 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.880 | $176 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.066 | $6.6 | May 24, 2026 |
 Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.002 | $0.08 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump announce Richard Grenell as the next Director of National Intelligence?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.120 | $2.4 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?No | sell | 50 | $0.070 | $3.5 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce Aaron Lukas as the next Director of National Intelligence?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.350 | $7 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?Yes | sell | 72.44 | $0.711 | $51.51 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 22, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.996 | $19.92 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.002 | $0.2 | May 23, 2026 |
 Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 50 | $0.848 | $42.4 | May 23, 2026 |
| Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.720 | $14.4 | May 23, 2026 |
 Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot FireSupah Hot | sell | 19.99 | $0.690 | $13.79 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.590 | $29.5 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.700 | $35 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.640 | $17.77 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.720 | $72 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.580 | $58 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?Yes | sell | 38.7 | $0.420 | $16.25 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?Yes | sell | 154.98 | $0.316 | $49.02 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 9.98K | $0.995 | $9.93K | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 9.98K | $0.997 | $9.95K | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 9.98K | $0.997 | $9.96K | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 9.98K | $0.998 | $9.96K | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS by Bad Bunny be the top Spotify album for 2025?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.910 | $6 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes | sell | 13.42 | $0.543 | $7.29 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.17 | $0.951 | $4.92 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?No | buy | 53.76 | $0.930 | $50 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 13.42 | $0.745 | $10 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 21.45 | $0.932 | $20 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 12.77 | $0.940 | $12 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.967 | $5 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?No | buy | 10.47 | $0.955 | $10 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3900 in July?Yes | buy | 6.12 | $0.490 | $3 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.660 | $6 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 8.5 | $0.706 | $6 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.08 | $0.984 | $5 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $300 in May?No | buy | 110.66 | $0.994 | $110 | May 22, 2025 |
| Will Solana reach $250 in April?No | buy | 60.36 | $0.994 | $60 | Apr 11, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 11.52 | $0.955 | $11 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.987 | $8 | Mar 30, 2025 |