Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?No | buy | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | May 19, 2026 |
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arbru is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax. As of the latest observation the record shows -$519.05 observed lifetime PnL, 20 distinct markets, 18 resolved positions, a 77.8% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x5cba45cb025c52466a9f9d7b5d583d4a3f15898a
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.922 |
| $36.88 |
| May 19, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?No | buy | 200 | $0.750 | $150 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?No | sell | 360 | $0.831 | $299.07 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | sell | 340 | $0.886 | $301.24 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Gold | sell | 26.78 | $0.560 | $15 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 41.59 | $0.880 | $36.6 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 103.26 | $0.963 | $99.44 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes | sell | 106.04 | $0.581 | $61.58 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 149.86 | $0.977 | $146.41 | Nov 15, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 34.02 | $0.881 | $29.97 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 41.59 | $0.880 | $36.6 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?Yes | buy | 92.46 | $0.995 | $92 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?Yes | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?Yes | buy | 101.01 | $0.990 | $100 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?Yes | buy | 97.98 | $0.990 | $97 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes | buy | 106.04 | $0.943 | $100 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.920 | $40 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Gold | buy | 26.79 | $0.560 | $15 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?Yes | buy | 24.31 | $0.864 | $21 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 34.02 | $0.970 | $33 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 15.46 | $0.970 | $15 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 103.27 | $0.968 | $100 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.