Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 6.22 | $0.989 | $6.12 | -$0.03 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 500 | $0.988 | $494 | Mar 17, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 506.22 |
| $0.989 |
| $500.65 |
| Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 500 | $0.996 | $498 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 504.22 | $0.996 | $502.2 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 2.1K | $0.001 | $2.1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Innsbruck host Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?No | sell | 2.27 | $0.997 | $2.26 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.993 | $1.01 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.860 | $2 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Will Alexis Ohanian buy TikTok before July?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.988 | $2 | Mar 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Alibaba AI model better than DeepSeek before March?No | buy | 2.1 | $0.954 | $2 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will GPT-4.5 be released by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Bournemouth wins the Premier League?No | sell | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.998 | $1.01 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.924 | $1 | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the Western Conference?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will the Boston Bruins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Jan 8, 2025 |
| Will FDP win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Flex Player?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will Russel Westbrook win 2024-25 NBA 6th Man of the Year?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Dec 20-27?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 in December?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
| Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Wide Receiver?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
| Bournemouth wins the Premier League?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Dec 26, 2024 |
| Will the Seahawks win Super Bowl 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Dec 26, 2024 |