Latest trade
Sep 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 17, 5:41 PM UTC.
Analytics
orangehorse is down $56.02 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 27 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Sep 12, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 17, 5:41 PM UTC.
$2.88 median trade
Its latest 60 trades covered 31 markets; 65.0% were buys. They run from May 7, 2025 UTC to Sep 12, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | buy | 6.03 | $0.580 | $3.5 | Sep 12, 2026 UTC |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-17 14:26 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-17 17:41 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
60 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-17 17:41 UTC
polymarket positions
29 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-09-08 17:37 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $21.74 and losing ones cost $61.08 across 27 settled positions. 25.9% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.55 on “Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?” (Yes); the largest loss, $9 on “Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?” (Yes).
It first traded on 7 May 2025 and most recently on 12 Sep 2026. It has traded 31 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 28.46 |
| $0.080 |
| $2.28 |
| Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Sep 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | buy | 3.93 | $0.570 | $2.24 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | sell | 97.57 | $0.015 | $1.5 | Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | buy | 128.39 | $0.078 | $10 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?Yes | buy | 17.64 | $0.110 | $1.94 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 Kash Patel out by April 30?Yes | buy | 14.47 | $0.150 | $2.17 | Apr 26, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.010 | $0.11 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Yes | sell | 18.33 | $0.014 | $0.25 | Apr 5, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | sell | 5.61 | $0.680 | $3.81 | Apr 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 4.91 | $0.610 | $3 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.550 | $3.09 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 7.72 | $0.400 | $3.09 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 4.92 | $0.610 | $3 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 7.73 | $0.400 | $3.09 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Democrats (D) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Mar 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes | sell | 7.56 | $0.870 | $6.58 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes | sell | 7.85 | $0.066 | $0.52 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes | buy | 4.6 | $0.531 | $2.44 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes | buy | 3.69 | $0.271 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes | sell | 2.96 | $0.737 | $2.18 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?Yes | sell | 19.16 | $0.170 | $3.26 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?Yes | buy | 23.63 | $0.240 | $5.67 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?Yes | sell | 7.47 | $0.760 | $5.68 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?Yes | buy | 7.47 | $0.470 | $3.51 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?Yes | sell | 8.55 | $0.410 | $3.51 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?Yes | buy | 8.55 | $0.290 | $2.48 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?Yes | sell | 6.88 | $0.360 | $2.48 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?Yes | buy | 6.88 | $0.600 | $4.13 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes | sell | 5.5 | $0.741 | $4.08 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.004 | $0.05 | Jan 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.075 | $1.05 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.32 | $0.100 | $0.53 | Jan 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes | buy | 11.43 | $0.350 | $4 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
 Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner TienMedvedev | buy | 109.52 | $0.018 | $2 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
| Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes | buy | 290.78 | $0.017 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump say "American Dream" during WEF Address on January 21?Yes | buy | 4.86 | $0.350 | $1.7 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during WEF Address on January 21?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes | sell | 15.15 | $0.310 | $4.7 | Jan 21, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.710 | $3.78 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Oct 10, 2025 UTC |
 Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 French Open?Yes | buy | 890.33 | $0.002 | $1.97 | Jun 4, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.