Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 73.6%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 24 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 26.6% on 31 Jan 2026 and the low 2.9% on 29 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 26.6% on 31 Jan 2026. $4.05M traded over the market's life.
547 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 40 points · 24 Dec 2025 – 1 Feb 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Dec 2025 | 7.5% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.86M |
| djokowin | Yes | 454.29K |
| Fumbling-Inbox | Yes | 100K |
| minioncheer | Yes | 74.78K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
The 2026 Australian Open is set to take place from January 18 - February 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Australian Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Australian Open (https://ausopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-mens-australian-open-winner
| Germany-007 | Yes | 33.55K |
| cocopufffs | Yes | 32.42K |
| Monstrous-Vest | Yes | 30K |
| PaulToy | Yes | 29.38K |
| DS831229 | Yes | 25K |
| leitingjie | Yes | 20.46K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
