Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 333.33 | $0.600 | $248.33 | +$48.33 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes | buy | 208.48 | $0.750 | $156.36 | 23d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 258.02 |
| $0.750 |
| $233.51 |
| +$39.99 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 123.46 | $0.810 | $114.2 | +$14.2 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 441.18 | $0.340 | $90.44 | -$59.56 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.820 | $87.5 | +$5.5 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 118.75 | $0.842 | $45.12 | -$54.88 |
| buy |
| 123.46 |
| $0.810 |
| $100 |
| 23d ago |
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 166.67 | $0.600 | $100 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | sell | 487.8 | $0.403 | $196.34 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 331.95 | $0.602 | $200 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 441.18 | $0.340 | $150 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.600 | $200 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 487.8 | $0.410 | $200 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 450.45 | $0.222 | $100 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes | buy | 172.41 | $0.290 | $50 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes | buy | 425.53 | $0.470 | $200 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes | buy | 447.76 | $0.670 | $300 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Yes | buy | 543.48 | $0.184 | $100 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?Yes | buy | 540.54 | $0.370 | $200 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?Yes | buy | 491.67 | $0.814 | $400 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.550 | $500 | May 2, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.56K | $0.320 | $500 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes | buy | 521.5 | $0.767 | $400 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 945.95 | $0.740 | $700 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.095 | $100 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 797.1 | $0.690 | $550 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 118.75 | $0.842 | $100 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?No | buy | 466.63 | $0.857 | $400 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?Down | buy | 210.97 | $0.948 | $200 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.300 | $200 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 535.71 | $0.560 | $300 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 697.67 | $0.430 | $300 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.950 | $1.33K | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 204.5 | $0.978 | $200 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 383.42 | $0.522 | $200 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?No | buy | 1.14K | $0.850 | $971.55 | Jan 30, 2025 |