Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 104.08 | $0.490 | $75.46 | +$24.46 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 33.04 | $0.460 | $15.2 | 14d ago |
| Yes |
| 33.04 |
| $0.460 |
| $26.27 |
| +$11.07 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 0.79 | $0.993 | $0.79 | +$0 |
| buy |
| 2.19 |
| $0.471 |
| $1.03 |
| Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?No | buy | 27.45 | $0.510 | $14 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 18 | $0.456 | $8.21 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$80k | sell | 37 | $0.300 | $11.1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$80k | sell | 30 | $0.480 | $14.4 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 25.13 | $0.472 | $11.86 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$80k | buy | 45.14 | $0.500 | $22.57 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$80k | sell | 68.93 | $0.320 | $22.06 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$80k | buy | 68.93 | $0.300 | $20.68 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | sell | 106.01 | $0.359 | $38.1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 15.91 | $0.620 | $9.86 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 88.87 | $0.620 | $55.1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.610 | $0.75 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 104.08 | $0.490 | $51 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?Up | buy | 50 | $0.480 | $24 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 15.1 | $0.500 | $7.55 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?Down | buy | 42.86 | $0.490 | $21 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Government shutdown on Saturday?No | sell | 37.66 | $0.982 | $36.98 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?Up | buy | 26.48 | $0.540 | $14.3 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday?No | buy | 37.67 | $0.360 | $13.56 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 14.94 | $0.994 | $14.85 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?80k | buy | 65.65 | $0.674 | $44.22 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.68 | $0.910 | $3.35 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 371.65 | $0.997 | $370.54 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 22?Up | buy | 2.9 | $0.860 | $2.49 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.51 | $0.810 | $2.03 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 10.54 | $0.998 | $10.52 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 382.19 | $0.999 | $381.81 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.75 | $0.810 | $7.09 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.056 | $6.16 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 684 | $0.992 | $678.53 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 684.79 | $0.993 | $680 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 684 | $0.994 | $679.9 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 684.42 | $0.995 | $681 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.510 | $10 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 18.46 | $0.920 | $16.98 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 18.46 | $0.650 | $12 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 882 | $0.961 | $847.6 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 888 | $0.962 | $854.26 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.25K | $0.878 | $1.09K | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.879 | $1.1K | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?Yes | sell | 555.56 | $0.510 | $283.44 | Sep 24, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.540 | $300 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 339.36 | $0.883 | $299.65 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 339.37 | $0.884 | $300 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?Yes | sell | 677.81 | $0.510 | $345.68 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?Yes | buy | 677.82 | $0.531 | $359.67 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?Yes | sell | 8.39 | $0.370 | $3.1 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?Yes | buy | 8.38 | $0.520 | $4.36 | Aug 19, 2025 |