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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 135.87 | $0.368 | $68.27 | +$18.27 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.571 | $20 | Mar 31, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 31.28 |
| $0.959 |
| $30.72 |
| +$0.72 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 31.21 | $0.961 | $12.72 | -$17.28 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 95.24 | $0.420 | $8.57 | -$31.43 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 143.27 | $0.349 | $3.58 | -$46.42 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 76.92 | $0.130 | $3.04 | -$6.96 |
| buy |
| 23.81 |
| $0.420 |
| $10 |
| Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 176.47 | $0.170 | $30 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 135.87 | $0.368 | $50 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 31.21 | $0.961 | $30 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 31.28 | $0.959 | $30 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 40 | $0.750 | $30 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 36.23 | $0.828 | $30 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes | buy | 46.15 | $0.650 | $30 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | sell | 64.93 | $0.770 | $50 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 64.94 | $0.770 | $50 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.420 | $20 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.420 | $40 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 101.95 | $0.160 | $16.31 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 37.74 | $0.530 | $20 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?No | buy | 395.84 | $0.933 | $369.33 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 9?Yes | buy | 78.72 | $0.940 | $74 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.080 | $30 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?Yes | buy | 387.24 | $0.775 | $300 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 101.95 | $0.196 | $20 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 80 | $0.750 | $60 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 143.27 | $0.349 | $50 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?No | buy | 19.71 | $0.254 | $5 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 38.04 | $0.184 | $7 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 27.24 | $0.257 | $7 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 35.53 | $0.197 | $7 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 7?Yes | buy | 110.62 | $0.904 | $100 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 6?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Dec 6, 2025 |