Latest trade
Oct 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 4:26 PM UTC.
Analytics
michael49 is down $14.4 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 18, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 4:26 PM UTC.
$14.04 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 38 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Jul 28, 2025 UTC to Oct 18, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 27.63 | $0.870 | $25.28 | +$1.24 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | 6d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-17 18:36 UTC
Polymarket public position response
5 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 16:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 16:26 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-17 18:36 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $100.34 and losing ones cost $115.54 across the latest 50 settled positions. 52% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $18.43 on “Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 12 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $35.38 on “Megaquake before August?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 18 Oct 2026. It has traded 96 markets. Its open positions are worth $74.24 across 5 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 95.21 |
| $0.580 |
| $21.42 |
| -$33.8 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | No | 18.34 | $0.870 | $16.78 | +$0.83 |
 Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | No | 28.85 | $0.741 | $9.43 | -$11.94 |
 Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Yes | 5 | $0.750 | $1.33 | -$2.43 |
| buy |
| 40.95 |
| $0.550 |
| $22.52 |
| 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 14?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.620 | $6.82 | 11d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 14?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | 11d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 14?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.620 | $4.34 | 11d ago |
 Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of October 12 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.660 | $16.5 | 11d ago |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?No | buy | 28.85 | $0.741 | $21.38 | 12d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 20?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.690 | $4.45 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 20?No | buy | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 20?No | buy | 12 | $0.690 | $8.28 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 10.1 | $0.925 | $9.35 | Aug 22, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 90.5 | $0.580 | $52.49 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 4.71 | $0.580 | $2.73 | Aug 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Yes | buy | 25.63 | $0.680 | $17.43 | Aug 7, 2026 UTC |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 20.32 | $0.703 | $14.28 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 15.06 | $0.651 | $9.81 | Jul 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 12.23 | $0.784 | $9.59 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 19.55 | $0.784 | $15.33 | Jul 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 17.45 | $0.870 | $15.18 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.18 | $0.870 | $8.86 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 17.92 | $0.808 | $14.48 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 8.49 | $0.870 | $7.39 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 9.85 | $0.870 | $8.57 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 7 | $0.789 | $5.52 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 8 | $0.789 | $6.31 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 29.99 | $0.796 | $23.87 | Jul 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January?No | buy | 3.74 | $0.999 | $3.74 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 10.41 | $0.999 | $10.4 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January?No | buy | 8.84 | $0.999 | $8.83 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Ethena hit $0.37 in January?No | buy | 20.49 | $0.995 | $20.39 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Chainlink hit $23 in January?No | buy | 12.37 | $0.995 | $12.31 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 82.41 | $0.998 | $82.25 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 18.79 | $0.999 | $18.77 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025?No | buy | 22.36 | $0.999 | $22.34 | Dec 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 23.76 | $0.998 | $23.71 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 75.17 | $0.999 | $75.09 | Dec 29, 2025 UTC |
 Ethereum all time high by October 31?No | buy | 35.43 | $0.998 | $35.36 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 36.11 | $0.954 | $34.45 | Oct 30, 2025 UTC |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?No | buy | 17.42 | $0.999 | $17.4 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 13.14 | $0.999 | $13.13 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in September?No | buy | 12.55 | $0.999 | $12.54 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before October?No | buy | 12.59 | $0.999 | $12.58 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will XRP reach $4.50 in September?No | buy | 19.83 | $0.998 | $19.79 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in September?No | buy | 13.59 | $0.998 | $13.56 | Sep 29, 2025 UTC |
| Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model on September 30?No | buy | 15.16 | $0.997 | $15.11 | Sep 28, 2025 UTC |
 India agrees to reduce purchases Russian oil by August 31?No | buy | 18.07 | $0.998 | $18.03 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?No | buy | 18 | $0.998 | $17.96 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
 Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by August 31?No | buy | 18.24 | $0.996 | $18.16 | Aug 31, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August?No | buy | 10.69 | $0.999 | $10.68 | Aug 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 37.93 | $0.980 | $37.17 | Jul 28, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.