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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 0.48 | $0.958 | $0.46 | +$0 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 19 | $0.966 | $18.35 | Jun 25, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 19 |
| $0.966 |
| $18.35 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 39 | $0.140 | $5.46 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | sell | 12.35 | $0.680 | $8.4 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 21 | $0.800 | $16.8 | Jun 23, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.080 | $5.12 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.032 | $1.22 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.027 | $0.86 | Jun 21, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 18 | $0.942 | $16.96 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 21 | $0.860 | $18.06 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 21 | $0.870 | $18.27 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.310 | $10.85 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.310 | $10.85 | Jun 17, 2026 |
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.939 | $17.84 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.690 | $20.7 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.230 | $5.06 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.480 | $24 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 35 | $0.690 | $24.15 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 35 | $0.680 | $23.8 | Jun 5, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.220 | $7.7 | May 30, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.560 | $23.52 | May 29, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 24 | $0.963 | $23.11 | May 29, 2026 |
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 4 | $0.963 | $3.85 | May 27, 2026 |
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.968 | $23.23 | May 26, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.802 | $24.06 | May 26, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.208 | $3.74 | May 26, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 27 | $0.340 | $9.18 | May 23, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 89 | $0.340 | $30.26 | May 23, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 13.01 | $0.440 | $5.72 | May 21, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.460 | $3.68 | May 21, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 38 | $0.750 | $28.5 | May 20, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 19 | $0.981 | $18.64 | May 20, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.981 | $18.64 | May 20, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 41 | $0.390 | $15.99 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.960 | $28.8 | May 18, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.984 | $29.52 | May 15, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 11 | $0.969 | $10.66 | May 14, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.964 | $18.32 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 15 | $0.923 | $13.85 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 32 | $0.923 | $29.54 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.964 | $28.92 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 5 | $0.976 | $4.88 | Apr 25, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 79 | $0.166 | $13.11 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 79 | $0.166 | $13.11 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 32 | $0.924 | $29.57 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 32 | $0.926 | $29.63 | Apr 23, 2026 |
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.246 | $9.1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 32 | $0.911 | $29.15 | Apr 22, 2026 |