Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 1 | $0.971 | $0.97 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 44 |
| $0.048 |
| $2.11 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 84 | $0.012 | $1.01 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 51 | $0.814 | $41.51 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 51 | $0.813 | $41.46 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 11 | $0.954 | $10.49 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 39 | $0.968 | $37.75 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 53 | $0.730 | $38.69 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 46 | $0.730 | $33.58 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.011 | $0.36 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 4 | $0.800 | $3.2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 79 | $0.028 | $2.21 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 36 | $0.987 | $35.53 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 48 | $0.814 | $39.07 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 52 | $0.807 | $41.96 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 41 | $0.052 | $2.13 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 5 | $0.974 | $4.87 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June?Yes | sell | 23 | $0.135 | $3.11 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.135 | $1.62 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.135 | $2.3 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 115–129 times June 13–20?No | buy | 16 | $0.976 | $15.62 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.025 | $1.95 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | sell | 16 | $0.988 | $15.81 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?No | buy | 16 | $0.989 | $15.82 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 16 | $0.988 | $15.81 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.982 | $15.71 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.983 | $15.73 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?No | buy | 16 | $0.983 | $15.73 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.052 | $0.31 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.024 | $1.82 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election?No | sell | 20 | $0.991 | $19.82 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?No | sell | 20 | $0.987 | $19.74 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.987 | $19.74 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | sell | 20 | $0.990 | $19.8 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.948 | $4.74 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 350–374 times June 6–13?Yes | sell | 201 | $0.013 | $2.61 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 350–374 times June 6–13?Yes | buy | 159 | $0.009 | $1.43 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.77 | $0.983 | $1.74 | Jun 8, 2025 |