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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 166.65 | $0.250 | $41.66 | Jan 12, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 166.65 |
| $0.300 |
| $50 |
| Jan 10, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.780 | $0.98 | Jan 5, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jan 5, 2026 |
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.382 | $28.65 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.693 | $207.79 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.704 | $211.2 | Jan 3, 2026 |
US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 320.88 | $0.997 | $319.92 | Jan 3, 2026 |
US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 320.88 | $0.998 | $320.24 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.270 | $20.25 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will "Idiot" or "Dumb" be said during the next episode of the All-In podcast?Yes | buy | 135 | $0.010 | $1.35 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will "Idiot" or "Dumb" be said during the next episode of the All-In podcast?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.250 | $12.5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will "Idiot" or "Dumb" be said during the next episode of the All-In podcast?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.190 | $28.5 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?No | sell | 388.96 | $0.920 | $357.84 | Jan 1, 2026 |
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?No | sell | 381.77 | $0.939 | $358.6 | Jan 1, 2026 |
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?Yes | sell | 332.83 | $0.998 | $332.16 | Jan 1, 2026 |
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?Yes | sell | 332.16 | $0.997 | $331.16 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?No | sell | 796.44 | $0.003 | $2.39 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.96 | $0.530 | $1.04 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?Yes | sell | 333.46 | $0.989 | $329.79 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 1.02 | $0.998 | $1.02 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?No | sell | 1.85K | $0.002 | $3.69 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?No | buy | 542.2 | $0.290 | $157.24 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025?No | buy | 845 | $0.008 | $6.76 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will MrBeast hit 105 billion views by December 31?Yes | sell | 94.36 | $0.180 | $16.98 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 815.28 | $0.833 | $679.53 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?No | sell | 50 | $0.410 | $20.5 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 643.81 | $0.999 | $643.17 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?No | buy | 50 | $0.220 | $11 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will MrBeast hit 105 billion views by December 31?Yes | sell | 112 | $0.287 | $32.17 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 643.81 | $0.974 | $627.07 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will MrBeast hit 105 billion views by December 31?Yes | buy | 206.36 | $0.272 | $56.21 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No | buy | 115 | $0.077 | $8.86 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No | buy | 115 | $0.942 | $108.36 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 115 | $0.062 | $7.11 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 115 | $0.927 | $106.61 | Dec 10, 2025 |
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Yes | sell | 684.9 | $0.999 | $684.22 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Yes | sell | 689.08 | $0.984 | $678.05 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Yes | buy | 564.54 | $0.972 | $548.73 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Yes | buy | 124.54 | $0.968 | $120.55 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Yes | sell | 680.86 | $0.983 | $669.29 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?Yes | sell | 233.08 | $0.018 | $4.23 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%?Yes | sell | 799 | $0.024 | $18.78 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | sell | 62 | $0.170 | $10.54 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 62 | $0.190 | $11.78 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Yes | buy | 146.81 | $0.690 | $101.3 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Yes | buy | 640.19 | $0.680 | $435.33 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 204 | $0.160 | $32.64 | Dec 7, 2025 |