Latest trade
Aug 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 1:52 PM UTC.
Analytics
Ecstatic-Chrysalis has made $8.87 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 11 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-06-24 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 14, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 1:52 PM UTC.
$9.58 median trade
Its latest 24 trades covered 14 markets; 83.3% were buys. They run from Jun 12, 2026 UTC to Aug 14, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.840 | $78.5 | -$5.5 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | Aug 14, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-06-24 22:23 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 13:52 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
24 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 13:52 UTC
polymarket positions
12 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-06-24 22:23 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $36.64 and losing ones cost $27.76 across 11 settled positions. 90.9% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $21.66 on “Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?” (Yes); the largest loss, $27.76 on “Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 14 Aug 2026. It has traded 14 markets. Its open positions are worth $83.66 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 100 |
| $0.070 |
| $2.55 |
| -$4.45 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.070 | $2.25 | -$4.75 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.490 | $0.36 | -$4.55 |
| sell |
| 30 |
| $0.960 |
| $28.8 |
| Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
 Micron (MU) Up or Down on June 24?Down | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
 Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $7.5B?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.910 | $22.75 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.976 | $9.76 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $26B?Yes | buy | 1.24 | $0.919 | $1.14 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $26B?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.919 | $9.19 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $26B?Yes | buy | 0.8 | $0.919 | $0.74 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $26B?Yes | buy | 7.96 | $0.919 | $7.32 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
 Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo RomanoFilippo Romano | sell | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo RomanoFilippo Romano | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.963 | $9.63 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.955 | $9.55 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
 GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.977 | $19.54 | Jun 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?No | sell | 120 | $0.080 | $9.6 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.720 | $21.59 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?No | buy | 120 | $0.300 | $36 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.730 | $36.5 | Jun 12, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.