Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 47.09 | $0.110 | $5.18 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 5.35 |
| $0.968 |
| $5.18 |
| Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October meeting?Yes | buy | 5.35 | $0.970 | $5.19 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?Yes | buy | 78.95 | $0.038 | $3 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will no one dissent September Fed decision?Yes | buy | 18.27 | $0.109 | $2 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.036 | $3 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Sep 16, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.031 | $0.2 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 Fact check: Did Luigi Mangione use 3D printed gun?No | buy | 78.95 | $0.038 | $3 | Dec 14, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.049 | $2.45 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 2024 November hottest on record?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.011 | $1.1 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | sell | 11.39 | $0.860 | $9.8 | Dec 4, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 44.96 | $0.260 | $11.69 | Dec 4, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 16.94 | $0.690 | $11.69 | Dec 4, 2024 |
| 2024 November hottest on record?Yes | buy | 22.44 | $0.041 | $0.92 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| 1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 11.39 | $0.790 | $9 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| No change in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.018 | $10 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 85.71 | $0.385 | $33 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 476.56 | $0.031 | $15 | Nov 5, 2024 |