
Resolved No on 17 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 91.5%. Yes opened at 28.5% on 15 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 15 Aug 2025 to 17 Sep 2025, the highest close was 42% on 8 Sep 2025 and the lowest 8.5% on 17 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 23.5% on 22 Aug 2025. $85.7K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 19, 12:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 15 Aug 2025 – 17 Sep 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2025 | 28.5% |
| 17 Sep 2025 | 8.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| collectorr | Yes | 7.2K |
| cowcat | Yes | 4.05K |
| tumi | Yes | 484.12 |
| babypanda | Yes | 267.16 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for Tuesday–Wednesday, September 16 - 17, 2025. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 17, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 16 - 17, 2025, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-dissent-at-the-next-fed-meeting-526
| Purple-Mukluk | Yes | 236 |
| Winfredo | Yes | 200.01 |
| pkell | Yes | 142.86 |
| davidpriministru | Yes | 106.67 |
| S888 | Yes | 93.23 |
| ciaociao23 | Yes | 93.08 |
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