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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.65 | $0.960 | $0.64 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.140 | $3.36 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 39 |
| $0.150 |
| $5.85 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.094 | $3.48 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.790 | $6.32 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 44 | $0.780 | $34.32 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 52 | $0.780 | $40.56 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No | buy | 44 | $0.965 | $42.46 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 24 | $0.830 | $19.92 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.340 | $37.4 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 47 | $0.810 | $38.07 | May 26, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.349 | $6.28 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.969 | $41.67 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 47 | $0.400 | $18.8 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 11 | $0.961 | $10.57 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 24.65 | $0.960 | $23.66 | May 24, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 49 | $0.710 | $34.79 | May 23, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.260 | $16.12 | May 22, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 90 | $0.480 | $43.2 | May 21, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 90 | $0.480 | $43.2 | May 21, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.015 | $0.32 | May 21, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.015 | $1.07 | May 21, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | May 21, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | May 21, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 75 | $0.560 | $42 | May 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 75 | $0.550 | $41.25 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 24 | $0.960 | $23.04 | May 20, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 36 | $0.340 | $12.24 | May 20, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 7 | $0.340 | $2.38 | May 19, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 83 | $0.042 | $3.49 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup?No | buy | 1.97 | $0.965 | $1.9 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?No | sell | 13 | $0.990 | $12.87 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 13 | $0.991 | $12.88 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?No | buy | 13 | $0.974 | $12.66 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.990 | $1.72 | May 22, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.979 | $1.6 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will Bobby Kotick buy TikTok?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.050 | $1.45 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.982 | $9.82 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Bobby Kotick buy TikTok?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.056 | $0.73 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Trump x Xi talk by Friday?No | sell | 13 | $0.986 | $12.82 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Trump x Xi talk by Friday?No | buy | 13 | $0.972 | $12.64 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $210 in April?No | buy | 13 | $0.989 | $12.86 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on France in the first 100 days?No | buy | 14 | $0.986 | $13.8 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?No | buy | 15 | $0.958 | $14.37 | Apr 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "bigly" by March 28?No | sell | 14 | $0.995 | $13.93 | Mar 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "bigly" by March 28?No | buy | 14 | $0.978 | $13.69 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | sell | 15 | $0.924 | $13.86 | Mar 24, 2025 |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup?No | buy | 15 | $0.932 | $13.98 | Mar 17, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $89000 and $91000 on Mar 14?No | buy | 14 | $0.942 | $13.19 | Mar 12, 2025 |