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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spain snap election called in 2026? | No | 226.06 | $0.628 | $181.98 | +$39.89 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 50.79 | $0.010 | $0.51 | Aug 8, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 200 |
| $0.480 |
| $105 |
| +$9 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 73.49 | $0.460 | $37.11 | +$3.31 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 981.18 | $0.106 | $16.68 | -$87.51 |
 Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? | Yes | 40 | $0.080 | $0.84 | -$2.36 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.790 |
| $15.8 |
| Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 971.68 | $0.009 | $8.75 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.210 | $63 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 412.1 | $0.083 | $34.2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.194 | $97 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.117 | $35.1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.190 | $95 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.590 | $41.3 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Starmer out by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.970 | $194 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.050 | $4 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.080 | $32 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Spain snap election called in 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.595 | $89.21 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.190 | $5.7 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Spain snap election called in 2026?No | buy | 13 | $0.630 | $8.19 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | buy | 344.82 | $0.029 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 399.97 | $0.276 | $110.39 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.580 | $23.2 | May 19, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.800 | $160 | May 9, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.170 | $8.5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 10 | $0.914 | $9.14 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 10 | $0.978 | $9.78 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 10 | $0.984 | $9.84 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 10 | $0.986 | $9.86 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?Yes | buy | 32.64 | $0.380 | $12.4 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 34.69 | $0.998 | $34.62 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long?No | sell | 107.52 | $0.960 | $103.22 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long?No | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long?Yes | sell | 150.32 | $0.070 | $10.52 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 90 and 100 minutes long?Yes | sell | 149.92 | $0.101 | $15.18 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 46%?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 60 and 70 minutes long?No | sell | 50 | $0.986 | $49.32 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 90 and 100 minutes long?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.240 | $24 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.420 | $42 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 90 and 100 minutes long?Yes | buy | 34 | $0.240 | $8.16 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the second round by 10–20%?No | sell | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.420 | $21 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 60 and 70 minutes long?No | buy | 50 | $0.950 | $47.5 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 90 and 100 minutes long?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.240 | $7.2 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | sell | 10 | $0.984 | $9.84 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by at least 50%?No | sell | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?Yes | sell | 10.41 | $0.996 | $10.37 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%?No | sell | 39.99 | $0.999 | $39.95 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be less than 46%?Yes | buy | 21.73 | $0.080 | $1.74 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.160 | $8 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.011 | $2.2 | Feb 1, 2026 |