Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 32%. Yes opened at 27% on 1 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 1 Apr 2026 to 9 Apr 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 32% on 9 Apr 2026 and the lowest 23.5% on 7 Apr 2026. $491.72K traded over the market's life.
117 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 16, 1:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 1 Apr 2026 – 9 Apr 2026, chart shows 20%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Apr 2026 | 27.0% |
| 9 Apr 2026 | 32.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| gopfan2 | No | 15.35K |
| quantgamer | No | 12.95K |
| Oval-Proctor | No | 10.83K |
| elockt | No | 9K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least 133 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hungary-election-tisza-wins-a-constitutional-majority
| splaym | No | 6.58K |
| snols | No | 5.24K |
| nogodcomplex | No | 3.61K |
| LR1 | No | 3.6K |
| Shady-Survey | No | 2.19K |
| InsiderrrZ | No | 1.74K |
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