Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | sell | 207.54 | $0.038 | $7.89 | 7d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 16.76 |
| $0.298 |
| $5 |
| 28d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 22.05 | $0.060 | $1.32 | 28d ago |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by August 31?Yes | buy | 25.13 | $0.199 | $5 | 28d ago |
| Israeli forces enter Tyre by August 31?Yes | buy | 38.29 | $0.026 | $1 | 28d ago |
| Israeli forces enter Choukine by August 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | 28d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | buy | 22.06 | $0.680 | $15 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?No | buy | 7.32 | $0.410 | $3 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 64.06 | $0.060 | $3.84 | May 23, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 42.85 | $0.120 | $5.14 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 64.06 | $0.078 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 23.14 | $0.660 | $15.27 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 16.18 | $0.680 | $11 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.630 | $30 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | sell | 92.25 | $0.610 | $56.27 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.95 | $0.840 | $4.16 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes | sell | 7.42 | $0.240 | $1.78 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 6.44 | $0.370 | $2.38 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.43 | $0.280 | $2.08 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 3.39 | $0.611 | $2.07 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.44 | $0.360 | $2.32 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.580 | $2.32 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 8.85 | $0.740 | $6.55 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 36.67 | $0.600 | $22 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.67 | $0.660 | $20.9 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 35.85 | $0.388 | $13.92 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 17.88 | $0.390 | $6.97 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.84 | $0.570 | $1.62 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.210 | $1.1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.280 | $2 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.36 | $0.850 | $1.16 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.870 | $0.97 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.77 | $0.530 | $2 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | sell | 34.48 | $0.038 | $1.31 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.220 | $0.95 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.015 | $0.21 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?No | sell | 3.03 | $0.076 | $0.23 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 17.99 | $0.029 | $0.52 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 13.06 | $0.510 | $6.66 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Nigeria by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 21.33 | $0.160 | $3.41 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.25 | $0.016 | $0.31 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.36 | $0.440 | $2.8 | Jan 10, 2026 |