Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 58.15 | $0.860 | $53.21 | +$3.2 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 10.88 | $0.919 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 6.82 |
| $0.880 |
| $6 |
| Jun 16, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.87 | $0.890 | $7 | May 24, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | sell | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 in May?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 in May?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | May 22, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | buy | 12.22 | $0.900 | $11 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 14.67 | $0.750 | $11 | May 7, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 26.04 | $0.960 | $25 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?No | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 8.33 | $0.999 | $8.32 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.480 | $4 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.15 | $0.470 | $9 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 20.94 | $0.955 | $20 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?Yes | buy | 7.11 | $0.844 | $6 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?Yes | buy | 58 | $0.345 | $20 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?Yes | buy | 16.6 | $0.630 | $10.46 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No | buy | 10.46 | $0.960 | $10.04 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Yes | buy | 10.04 | $0.961 | $9.65 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4200 August 4–10?No | buy | 95.37 | $0.980 | $93.45 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?Yes | sell | 457.13 | $0.390 | $178.28 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?No | sell | 555.72 | $0.050 | $27.79 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?No | buy | 6.25K | $0.080 | $500 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on August 4?Up | sell | 25.01 | $0.998 | $24.96 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 24.93 | $0.897 | $22.36 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 16.31 | $0.770 | $12.56 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76000 and $78000 on Apr 18?No | buy | 13.44 | $0.967 | $13 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Magic vs. CelticsCeltics | buy | 12.22 | $0.900 | $11 | Apr 16, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 21-28?No | buy | 14.58 | $0.960 | $14 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80000 and $82000 on Mar 28?No | buy | 13.42 | $0.969 | $13 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Will Apple launch an Airtag on February 19?No | buy | 14.75 | $0.949 | $14 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Elon say "China" 10 or more times during their Feb 18 interview?No | buy | 18.28 | $0.930 | $17 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 14-21?No | buy | 14.63 | $0.957 | $14 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 29.54 | $0.677 | $20 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?Yes | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 450 or more times Dec 6-13?No | buy | 14.81 | $0.945 | $14 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?No | buy | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | Dec 12, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Dec 6-13?No | buy | 25.29 | $0.870 | $22 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Will Southampton win on 2024-12-07?No | buy | 32.97 | $0.910 | $30 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | sell | 87.02 | $0.770 | $67.01 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Ripple above $1.69 on December 6?Yes | buy | 30.64 | $0.830 | $25.43 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Nov 22-29?No | buy | 36.5 | $0.866 | $31.6 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $3,300 on November 29?Yes | buy | 25.43 | $0.983 | $25 | Nov 28, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?Yes | buy | 56.6 | $0.983 | $55.61 | Nov 21, 2024 |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 87.02 | $0.947 | $82.41 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 200 times November 15-22?No | buy | 55.61 | $0.989 | $55 | Nov 15, 2024 |