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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETDown | buy | 29.81 | $0.580 | $17.29 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 72.04 |
| $0.240 |
| $17.29 |
| Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 72.04 | $0.250 | $18.01 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | sell | 89.39 | $0.200 | $17.88 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.210 | $14 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down - January 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.063 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.759 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.036 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.957 | $22.97 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.130 | $0.68 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.780 | $18.72 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 20 | $0.370 | $7.4 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.002 | $0.02 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.108 | $3 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 10?Up | buy | 5.17 | $0.580 | $3 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Employment" or "Unemployment" 20+ times during December press conference?No | buy | 7 | $0.150 | $1.05 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Pandemic" during December press conference?No | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Sorry" during December press conference?No | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during December press conference?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.170 | $1.02 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 9?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.360 | $10.8 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 31 | $0.033 | $1.02 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Nov 28, 2025 |