Latest trade
Aug 27, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:56 PM UTC.
Analytics
Fortunate-Dinghy-Observation is down $95.92 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 47 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-27 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 27, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 12:56 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 37 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from May 4, 2026 UTC to Aug 27, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.54 | $0.650 | $0.78 | -$0.22 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Canada participate in Eurovision 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.040 | $0.79 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-27 16:24 UTC
Polymarket public position response
6 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 12:56 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 12:56 UTC
polymarket positions
48 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-27 16:24 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $15 and losing ones cost $110.92 across 47 settled positions. 23.4% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.65 on “Will Israel win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?” (Yes); the largest loss, $26.06 on “Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 27 Aug 2026. It has traded 52 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.99 across 6 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 3.59 |
| $0.279 |
| $0.66 |
| -$0.34 |
| Will Canada participate in Eurovision 2027? | No | 20 | $0.040 | $0.55 | -$0.24 |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $0.52 | -$0.48 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.190 | $0.29 | -$0.71 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2 | $0.500 | $0.19 | -$0.81 |
| buy |
| 50 |
| $0.034 |
| $1.7 |
| Jun 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.050 | $2.5 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.050 | $2.5 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Jun 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.032 | $1.28 | May 23, 2026 UTC |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Yes | buy | 25.49 | $0.006 | $0.15 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Yes | buy | 0.18 | $0.006 | $0 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.006 | $0.1 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.006 | $0.12 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.006 | $0.09 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Yes | buy | 50.44 | $0.008 | $0.4 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
 Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.090 | $1.08 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Yes | buy | 103.33 | $0.006 | $0.62 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?Yes | buy | 79.56 | $0.008 | $0.64 | May 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will "Expensive" be said during Eurovision?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Celebrate" or "Celebrated" be said during Eurovision?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will "Bathroom" be said during Eurovision?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will Walmart acquire TikTok?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.59 | $0.279 | $1 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
 Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Belgium come in last place at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 5.92 | $0.169 | $1 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Finland come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 37.59 | $0.133 | $5 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Israel win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
 Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 11.59 | $0.431 | $5 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 25 and 49 points?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 50 and 74 points?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Greece come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 23.37 | $0.428 | $10 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?Yes | buy | 96.09 | $0.156 | $15 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 74.63 | $0.134 | $10 | May 13, 2026 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETDown | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETDown | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETUp | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ETDown | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
 Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
| Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
 Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | May 4, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.