Analytics
Resolved No on 17 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 18.5% on 13 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 13 May 2026 to 17 May 2026, the highest close was 18.5% on 13 May 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 17 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 0.4% on 17 May 2026. $2.29K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 17, 11:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 13 May 2026 – 17 May 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 May 2026 | 18.5% |
| 17 May 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.14K |
| Maki777 | Yes | 375 |
| MRS.ESC | Yes | 97.82 |
| Chilly-Basement | Yes | 38.46 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places third in the final. If no third place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eurovision-3rd-place-2026
| shirangrad | Yes | 31.25 |
| Crushing-End | Yes | 22.15 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 20 |
| Keen Ledger 5882 | Yes | 13.33 |
| Some-Normalisation | Yes | 13.33 |
| Married-Apse | Yes | 10 |
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