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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 11?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Oct 9, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 25 |
| $0.120 |
| $3 |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
Will Trump invoke War Powers again by October 31?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.090 | $0.6 | Oct 8, 2025 |
More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?Yes | sell | 1.26 | $0.550 | $0.69 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?No | sell | 40 | $0.013 | $0.52 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Another France debt downgrade by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.53 | $0.740 | $1.87 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.090 | $3 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Macron out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 21.6 | $0.190 | $4.1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 12?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 11?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 10?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?No | buy | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will Meta have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will Mistral AI have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Another France debt downgrade by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Oct 6, 2025 |
Macron out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.6 | $0.231 | $5 | Oct 6, 2025 |
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-05?Yes | buy | 9.76 | $0.410 | $4 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-05?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.320 | $4 | Oct 5, 2025 |
More EU sanctions on Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Brighton win on 2025-10-05?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-10-05?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Oct 5, 2025 |
Will Chelsea vs. Liverpool end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will Trump invoke War Powers again by October 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-04?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $126,000 September 29-October 5?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.081 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-10-04?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |