Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 60% on 13 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 13 Sep 2025 to 18 Oct 2025, the highest close was 100% on 18 Oct 2025 and the lowest 48.5% on 16 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 100% on 18 Oct 2025. $29.04K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 12:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 13 Sep 2025 – 18 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | 60.0% |
| 18 Oct 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Fafa13 | No | 2.25K |
| Foutaises | Yes | 375 |
| imagines4002 | No | 355.48 |
| Yafeille | No | 200.41 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if France's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between September 12, 6:15 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-france-debt-downgrade-by-december-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Shunk | No | 155.04 |
| arthurdhonneur | No | 100 |
| jaihind | No | 50 |
| Betty2 | No | 44.44 |
| msen | No | 43.48 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 41 |
