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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | 1.32K | $0.039 | $25.09 | -$26.39 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?No | buy | 4.93 | $0.540 | $2.66 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 248.12 |
| $0.806 |
| $200 |
| Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?No | sell | 287.81 | $0.704 | $202.66 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.662 | $705.96 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 526.48 | $0.190 | $100 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 417.11 | $0.024 | $10 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes | buy | 979.84 | $0.037 | $36.48 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes | buy | 340.78 | $0.044 | $15 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 595.24 | $0.042 | $25 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 819.67 | $0.061 | $50 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 196.39 | $0.509 | $100 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Venezuela next?Yes | buy | 4.06K | $0.025 | $100 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.13K | $0.032 | $100 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.96 | $0.460 | $9.64 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.800 | $240 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 417.15 | $0.048 | $20 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 62.06 | $0.322 | $20 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?Yes | buy | 466.87 | $0.043 | $20 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 653.85 | $0.122 | $80 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | buy | 499.25 | $0.610 | $304.54 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 543.81 | $0.560 | $304.53 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | buy | 43.5 | $0.160 | $6.96 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.870 | $6.96 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 551.82 | $0.870 | $480.08 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by October 31?Yes | buy | 551.91 | $0.018 | $10 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10PM ETUp | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?No | buy | 503.88 | $0.633 | $318.71 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.3K | $0.190 | $247.03 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 293.42 | $0.180 | $52.82 | Oct 5, 2025 |