Latest trade
May 21, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 2:32 PM UTC.
Analytics
Bearishguy has made $840 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 7 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
May 21, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 2:32 PM UTC.
$38.12 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 8 markets; 70.0% were buys. They run from May 18, 2025 UTC to May 21, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in May?Yes | buy | 604 | $0.060 | $36.24 | May 21, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-01 09:23 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 14:32 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 14:32 UTC
polymarket positions
8 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-01 09:23 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $4K and losing ones cost $2.62K across 7 settled positions. 57.1% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $3.85K on “Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.59K on “Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 21 May 2025. It has traded 10 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 98.09 |
| $0.120 |
| $11.77 |
| May 21, 2025 UTC |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 62.76 | $0.390 | $24.48 | May 21, 2025 UTC |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.630 | $945.02 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.370 | $0.97 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.52 | $0.370 | $3.89 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.17 | $0.370 | $1.91 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.580 | $290 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.370 | $1.76 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 39.68 | $0.370 | $14.68 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 68.95 | $0.630 | $43.44 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 41.51 | $0.630 | $26.15 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 158.73 | $0.630 | $100 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 10.63 | $0.630 | $6.7 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 515.75 | $0.630 | $324.92 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 321.87 | $0.630 | $202.78 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 0.96 | $0.630 | $0.6 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | sell | 951 | $0.630 | $599.13 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 338.38 | $0.550 | $186.11 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | sell | 364.92 | $0.510 | $186.11 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 727.27 | $0.550 | $400 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 164.92 | $0.479 | $78.92 | May 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?No | sell | 84.68 | $0.047 | $3.98 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?No | sell | 549.52 | $0.047 | $25.83 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?No | buy | 5K | $0.015 | $75 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?No | buy | 2K | $0.038 | $75.89 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 212.9 | $0.620 | $132 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?No | buy | 900 | $0.075 | $67.5 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 100 | $0.480 | $48 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?No | buy | 100 | $0.075 | $7.5 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?No | buy | 1K | $0.077 | $77 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 98.09 | $0.194 | $19 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 185 | $0.600 | $111 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?No | buy | 1.47K | $0.076 | $111.64 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?No | buy | 31.01 | $0.076 | $2.36 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?No | buy | 290.32 | $0.086 | $25 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?No | buy | 594.34 | $0.084 | $50 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 360.66 | $0.610 | $220 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will another candidate win?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will another candidate win?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 312.46 | $0.630 | $196.85 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
 Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?Yes | buy | 3.15K | $0.001 | $3.15 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 964.52 | $0.620 | $598 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.004 | $40 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.004 | $20 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.004 | $20 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%?Yes | buy | 1.63K | $0.004 | $6.5 | May 18, 2025 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.