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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 0.44 | $0.955 | $0.43 | +$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cuban regime falls in 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.800 | $36 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 45 |
| $0.780 |
| $35.1 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 2 | $0.961 | $1.92 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.937 | $36.54 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 36 | $0.924 | $33.26 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 34 | $0.976 | $33.18 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 2 | $0.958 | $1.92 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.150 | $2.1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.953 | $38.12 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.128 | $0.26 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.059 | $4.43 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.915 | $32.94 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.836 | $32.6 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 35 | $0.938 | $32.83 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 65 | $0.550 | $35.75 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.080 | $4.72 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 41 | $0.910 | $37.31 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.920 | $37.72 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 64 | $0.110 | $7.04 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 69 | $0.430 | $29.67 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?No | sell | 57 | $0.720 | $41.04 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 57 | $0.720 | $41.04 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.985 | $37.43 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 41 | $0.988 | $40.51 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | sell | 5 | $0.954 | $4.77 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 43 | $0.955 | $41.07 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 25 | $0.810 | $20.25 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | buy | 25 | $0.811 | $20.28 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.500 | $22.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.500 | $22.5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 76 | $0.550 | $41.8 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 76 | $0.550 | $41.8 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.470 | $20.68 | May 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.470 | $24.91 | May 31, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 8 | $0.690 | $5.52 | May 30, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 60 | $0.690 | $41.4 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 84 | $0.440 | $36.96 | May 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 41 | $0.440 | $18.04 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 41 | $0.777 | $31.86 | May 29, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | sell | 41 | $0.985 | $40.39 | May 28, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 41 | $0.985 | $40.39 | May 28, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.041 | $1.64 | May 28, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.084 | $3.61 | May 27, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 51 | $0.795 | $40.55 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.360 | $10.44 | May 25, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.986 | $37.47 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | buy | 39 | $0.973 | $37.95 | May 25, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.340 | $2.72 | May 24, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.330 | $9.9 | May 24, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 61 | $0.669 | $40.81 | May 24, 2026 |