Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 16.06 | $0.996 | $15.99 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 16.06 | $0.996 | $16 | 4d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 16.03 |
| $0.999 |
| $16.01 |
| 4d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 16.03 | $0.998 | $16 | 16d ago |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 16.02 | $0.999 | $16 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14?No | buy | 66.97 | $0.999 | $66.9 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7?Yes | buy | 66.87 | $0.999 | $66.8 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 66.87 | $0.999 | $66.8 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?Yes | buy | 66.77 | $0.999 | $66.7 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No | buy | 66.77 | $0.999 | $66.7 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.999 | $66.6 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?No | buy | 66.57 | $0.999 | $66.5 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?No | buy | 66.57 | $0.999 | $66.5 | May 8, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 66.07 | $0.999 | $66 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?No | buy | 66.45 | $0.999 | $66.38 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?No | buy | 66.39 | $0.999 | $66.32 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?No | buy | 66.32 | $0.999 | $66.25 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No | buy | 66.26 | $0.999 | $66.19 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 66.21 | $0.999 | $66.14 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on March 27?No | buy | 67.54 | $0.999 | $67.47 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 19?Yes | buy | 67.47 | $0.999 | $67.4 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?Yes | buy | 67.4 | $0.999 | $67.33 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.002 | $1.2 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No | buy | 67.32 | $0.999 | $67.25 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 1?No | buy | 67.25 | $0.999 | $67.18 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Meituan have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.999 | $1.25 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Mistral have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.999 | $1.04 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.989 | $1.21 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No | buy | 65.07 | $0.999 | $65 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?No | buy | 68.5 | $0.999 | $68.43 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.400 | $18 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,700 on January 15?No | buy | 87.84 | $0.999 | $87.75 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?No | buy | 87.75 | $0.999 | $87.66 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?No | buy | 87.66 | $0.999 | $87.57 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 4?No | buy | 600 | $0.002 | $1.2 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?No | buy | 84.08 | $0.999 | $84 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | buy | 84 | $0.999 | $83.92 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 10?No | buy | 31.63 | $0.998 | $31.57 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.005 | $1.5 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.22 | $0.996 | $1.22 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 50.15 | $0.997 | $50 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.997 | $1.22 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2025?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.994 | $1.21 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.998 | $1.12 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.989 | $1.32 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.993 | $1.12 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.996 | $1.21 | Dec 6, 2025 |