
Resolved No on 19 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 6% on 10 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 10 Dec 2025 to 19 Dec 2025, the highest close was 7% on 11 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 19 Dec 2025. $589.6K traded over the market's life.
112 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 3:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 10 Dec 2025 – 19 Dec 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Dec 2025 | 6.0% |
| 19 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 533.38K |
| VibeTrader | Yes | 70.57K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 25.92K |
| brutu | Yes | 10K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from December 12 12:00 PM ET to December 19, 2025 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-december-12-december-19
| perryTD | Yes | 9K |
| annoyinglowie | Yes | 7.59K |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 6.86K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 6.81K |
| ghghgghghghghhghghh888 | Yes | 5.03K |
| deezytrading | Yes | 4.59K |
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