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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 12.11K | $0.553 | $6.36K | -$344.74 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 504.03 | $0.800 | $403.22 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 14.07K |
| $0.343 |
| $4.15K |
| -$674.61 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | No | 6.62K | $0.386 | $2.35K | -$207.6 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | Yes | 6.7K | $0.349 | $2.18K | -$159.7 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4.58K | $0.480 | $2.13K | -$71.18 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 2.58K | $0.471 | $1.2K | -$14.6 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 2.54K | $0.450 | $1.16K | +$13.66 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 3K | $0.356 | $1.07K | +$2.5 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 2K | $0.458 | $930.51 | +$14.03 |
 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.03K | $0.880 | $927.77 | +$25.63 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | Yes | 2.64K | $0.363 | $858.95 | -$100.08 |
 Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.511 | $804.89 | +$35.32 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 1.33K | $0.573 | $724.48 | -$39.9 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? | Yes | 933.05 | $0.610 | $564.5 | -$4.66 |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? | Yes | 712.61 | $0.809 | $491.7 | -$85.16 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | No | 500 | $0.860 | $430 | $0 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 504.03 | $0.800 | $395.66 | -$7.56 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 726.37 | $0.450 | $352.29 | +$25.42 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 355.41 | $0.963 | $346.35 | +$4.2 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | Yes | 343.36 | $0.912 | $334.6 | +$21.44 |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 250 | $0.870 | $244.13 | +$26.63 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | Yes | 778 | $0.331 | $225.62 | -$32.1 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 249.42 | $0.680 | $168.36 | -$1.25 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 254.41 | $0.520 | $143.74 | +$11.45 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 118 | $0.850 | $100.89 | +$0.59 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.830 |
| $4.15 |
| 2d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 255.41 | $0.961 | $245.45 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | 3d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | 3d ago |
 Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the September meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.458 | $2.29 | 3d ago |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 9.42 | $0.955 | $9 | 3d ago |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 20.85 | $0.963 | $20.08 | 3d ago |
 Iran leadership change by September 30?No | sell | 3.74 | $0.969 | $3.62 | 3d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | 3d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.290 | $145 | 4d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.390 | $778.74 | 5d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 1.18K | $0.390 | $461.05 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | buy | 460 | $0.400 | $184 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.340 | $7.48 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.330 | $6.93 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.320 | $6.4 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.310 | $6.2 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | buy | 28.6 | $0.310 | $8.87 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | 5d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 970.92 | $0.400 | $388.37 | 5d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.390 | $5.85 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 250 | $0.430 | $107.5 | 5d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 205.01 | $0.420 | $86.1 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.440 | $13.2 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 29.05 | $0.430 | $12.49 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | buy | 91 | $0.290 | $26.39 | 5d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 573 | $0.390 | $223.47 | 5d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.390 | $11.7 | 5d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 44.52 | $0.380 | $16.92 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 1.65K | $0.390 | $642.67 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.380 | $7.98 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | buy | 189.2 | $0.250 | $47.3 | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.240 | $9.84 | 5d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 14.99 | $0.550 | $8.24 | 6d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 249.99 | $0.550 | $137.49 | 6d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 249.99 | $0.550 | $137.49 | 6d ago |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.510 | $102 | 6d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 601.09 | $0.440 | $264.48 | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 254.41 | $0.520 | $132.29 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Yes | buy | 933.05 | $0.610 | $569.16 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 726.37 | $0.450 | $326.87 | 8d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.360 | $385.08 | 8d ago |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.430 | $442.62 | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1K | $0.440 | $440 | 8d ago |
 Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 2.04 | $0.999 | $2.04 | 8d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.12 | $0.991 | $10.03 | 8d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.63 | $0.940 | $9.99 | 8d ago |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes | buy | 75.53 | $0.520 | $39.28 | 9d ago |