Latest trade
Mar 6, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 3:13 PM UTC.
Analytics
Black.Pug is down $3.77 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 11 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Mar 6, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 3:13 PM UTC.
$1.04 median trade
Its latest 34 trades covered 22 markets; 70.6% were buys. They run from Jan 13, 2026 UTC to Mar 6, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | No | 17.44 | $0.860 | $16.99 | +$1.99 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-01 06:04 UTC
Polymarket public position response
2 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 15:13 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
34 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 15:13 UTC
polymarket positions
13 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-01 06:04 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $16.9 and losing ones cost $1.48 across 11 settled positions. 63.6% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $11.54 on “Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?” (No); the largest loss, $0.8 on “Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 6 Mar 2026. It has traded 22 markets. Its open positions are worth $17.76 across 2 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 4.72 |
| $0.252 |
| $0.77 |
| -$0.42 |
| buy |
| 4.72 |
| $0.252 |
| $1.19 |
| Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?No | sell | 6.66 | $0.700 | $4.66 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 9.46 | $0.740 | $7 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 17.44 | $0.860 | $15 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?No | sell | 24.44 | $0.922 | $22.53 | Feb 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.270 | $1.8 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1.72 | $0.730 | $1.26 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.080 | $0.35 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | sell | 26.74 | $0.007 | $0.2 | Jan 16, 2026 UTC |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.83 | $0.420 | $1.19 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will North Korea recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 26.74 | $0.037 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | sell | 2.12 | $0.460 | $0.98 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Jan 15, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.250 | $1.09 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.73 | $0.730 | $1.26 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.250 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
 Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 19?No | sell | 10 | $0.146 | $1.46 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.091 | $1.82 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 19?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.956 | $1 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.930 | $15 | Jan 14, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jan 13, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.